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Do adults in Florida expect to be better off in five years?

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Adults in Florida, 18,947,000 people · 1,000 profiles askedFirst 100 free · Need more?
46%chose Somewhat better off
0%95% interval 43% to 49%100%

Summary

46% of adults in Florida expect to be somewhat better off in five years, against 26% who expect to be about the same.

  1. 1Widest gap · employment: 60 pts employed adults are higher than adults not in the labor force, and the gap is clear.
  2. 2The lead: 20 pts “Somewhat better off” is ahead of “About the same,” with intervals that do not overlap.
  3. 3How it settled: 2 pts the estimate moved less than its own margin over the last 500 profiles, so the sample had settled.

These are synthetic profiles rather than real people, and on 46 multiple-choice questions checked against the 2024 General Social Survey, simulated answers sat a median 24 points from real people’s answers within demographic groups and 16 points nationally.

What people answered

The share choosing each option. The dot is the estimate; the band is the 95% interval.

0%25%50%75%100%
Somewhat better off
46% 43%49%
About the same
26% 23%29%
Somewhat worse off
22% 19%24%
Much better off
3% 2%4%
Not sure
2% 2%3%
Much worse off
1% 1%2%
estimate 95% interval

How the estimate settled

Each answer's share after every ten profiles; the band is the 95% interval of the leading answer, and it narrows as more people are asked.

10 profiles: 50% (24% to 76%)20 profiles: 40% (22% to 61%)30 profiles: 43% (27% to 61%)40 profiles: 45% (31% to 60%)50 profiles: 46% (33% to 60%)60 profiles: 45% (33% to 58%)70 profiles: 46% (35% to 57%)80 profiles: 45% (35% to 56%)90 profiles: 46% (36% to 56%)100 profiles: 45% (36% to 55%)110 profiles: 46% (37% to 56%)120 profiles: 48% (40% to 57%)130 profiles: 48% (40% to 57%)140 profiles: 49% (40% to 57%)150 profiles: 47% (40% to 55%)160 profiles: 46% (38% to 53%)170 profiles: 46% (39% to 53%)180 profiles: 46% (39% to 53%)190 profiles: 47% (40% to 54%)200 profiles: 47% (40% to 53%)210 profiles: 46% (39% to 52%)220 profiles: 45% (39% to 52%)230 profiles: 47% (40% to 53%)240 profiles: 48% (41% to 54%)250 profiles: 47% (41% to 53%)260 profiles: 48% (42% to 54%)270 profiles: 48% (42% to 54%)280 profiles: 48% (42% to 54%)290 profiles: 48% (42% to 54%)300 profiles: 47% (42% to 53%)310 profiles: 47% (42% to 53%)320 profiles: 48% (42% to 53%)330 profiles: 48% (43% to 53%)340 profiles: 48% (42% to 53%)350 profiles: 47% (42% to 53%)360 profiles: 48% (42% to 53%)370 profiles: 47% (42% to 52%)380 profiles: 47% (42% to 52%)390 profiles: 48% (43% to 53%)400 profiles: 48% (43% to 53%)410 profiles: 48% (43% to 53%)420 profiles: 48% (43% to 53%)430 profiles: 48% (43% to 53%)440 profiles: 48% (43% to 53%)450 profiles: 48% (43% to 53%)460 profiles: 48% (43% to 52%)470 profiles: 48% (43% to 52%)480 profiles: 48% (43% to 52%)490 profiles: 49% (44% to 53%)500 profiles: 48% (44% to 53%)510 profiles: 48% (44% to 52%)520 profiles: 48% (44% to 52%)530 profiles: 48% (44% to 52%)540 profiles: 48% (44% to 52%)550 profiles: 48% (44% to 52%)560 profiles: 48% (44% to 52%)570 profiles: 48% (44% to 52%)580 profiles: 48% (44% to 52%)590 profiles: 48% (44% to 52%)600 profiles: 48% (44% to 52%)610 profiles: 48% (44% to 52%)620 profiles: 48% (44% to 52%)630 profiles: 48% (44% to 52%)640 profiles: 48% (44% to 52%)650 profiles: 48% (44% to 52%)660 profiles: 48% (44% to 52%)670 profiles: 48% (44% to 52%)680 profiles: 48% (44% to 52%)690 profiles: 48% (44% to 52%)700 profiles: 48% (44% to 52%)710 profiles: 48% (44% to 51%)720 profiles: 48% (44% to 51%)730 profiles: 48% (44% to 51%)740 profiles: 47% (44% to 51%)750 profiles: 47% (44% to 51%)760 profiles: 47% (44% to 51%)770 profiles: 47% (44% to 51%)780 profiles: 47% (44% to 51%)790 profiles: 47% (44% to 51%)800 profiles: 47% (44% to 50%)810 profiles: 47% (44% to 50%)820 profiles: 47% (44% to 50%)830 profiles: 47% (43% to 50%)840 profiles: 47% (43% to 50%)850 profiles: 47% (43% to 50%)860 profiles: 47% (44% to 50%)870 profiles: 47% (44% to 50%)880 profiles: 47% (43% to 50%)890 profiles: 47% (43% to 50%)900 profiles: 46% (43% to 50%)910 profiles: 46% (43% to 50%)920 profiles: 46% (43% to 50%)930 profiles: 46% (43% to 50%)940 profiles: 46% (43% to 50%)950 profiles: 46% (43% to 49%)960 profiles: 46% (43% to 49%)970 profiles: 46% (43% to 49%)980 profiles: 46% (43% to 49%)990 profiles: 46% (43% to 49%)1000 profiles: 46% (43% to 49%)
0%46%93%250500750100046%
Somewhat better off46%
About the same26%
Somewhat worse off22%
95% interval of “Somewhat better off

Who was asked

The make-up of the sample, drawn to match the population asked.

Sex1000 profiles
women 53%men 48%
Employment1000 profiles
employed 59%not in the labor force 39%unemployed 2%armed forces 0%
Education1000 profiles
high school diploma 27%bachelor's degree 21%some college 17%graduate degree 13%associate degree 12%other 10%
Age878 profiles
50-54 10%40-44 9%35-39 9%70-74 9%60-64 9%other 53%

Why they answered this way

Collecting a few of the people's reasons…

Who answered what

Share answering “Somewhat better off”, by the attributes of the people asked, against everyone (the vertical line). Groups with few profiles have wide intervals.

Biggest gaps

On each attribute, the group that answered lowest and the one that answered highest, and the gap between them. Groups of at least ten profiles.

  1. Age82 pts
    70-74 5%20-24 86%
  2. Employment60 pts
    not in the labor force 10%employed 70%
  3. Education40 pts
    less than 9th grade 20%graduate degree 60%
  4. Sex0 pts · within the margin
    men 46%women 46%

Sex

0%25%50%75%100%
women
46% 42%50%
men
46% 41%50%
estimate 95% interval everyone

Employment

0%25%50%75%100%
employed
70% 66%74%
not in the labor force
10% 7%13%
unemployed
26% 12%49%
armed forces
75% 30%95%
estimate 95% interval everyone

Education

0%25%50%75%100%
high school diploma
39% 33%45%
bachelor's degree
52% 45%59%
some college
49% 42%57%
graduate degree
60% 52%68%
associate degree
51% 42%60%
some high school
24% 16%36%
less than 9th grade
20% 10%36%
estimate 95% interval everyone

Age

0%25%50%75%100%
15-19
54% 36%70%
20-24
86% 77%92%
25-29
82% 71%89%
30-34
85% 76%92%
35-39
73% 63%82%
40-44
71% 61%80%
45-49
62% 50%72%
50-54
44% 35%55%
55-59
38% 27%49%
60-64
17% 10%27%
65-69
13% 7%22%
70-74
5% 2%12%
estimate 95% interval everyone

Every breakdown

Full report

The answer by all ninety attributes, ranked by how much they separate people, with an interval on each.

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State by state

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The answer in every state, mapped, with the sample behind each.

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In the full report

This page is the free preview: the answer, why, and four breakdowns. A full run adds the rest. See what the report holds on this sample, or read a finished report.

The kinds of people in this answer

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Four or five groups of reasons, each with its share and its number: who anchors on today’s bill, who shares a login, who pays for the kids.

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Every reason, exportable

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All the people asked, in their own words, with their attributes, as a table to filter and download.

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The whole population

Full report

Thousands of profiles instead of a hundred: intervals a fifth as wide, and rare groups large enough to read.

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The next questions

Full report

Would you take ads for five dollars less? Which service would you drop first? Asked of the same people.

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A one-page summary

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This page says the finding in short; the report lays it out with the chart, the segments and the caveats as one page to print or forward.

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How this was computed

Populationadults in Florida, 18,947,000 peopleQuestion as askedCompared with today, do you expect to be better off overall five years from now?
Options: Much better off · Somewhat better off · About the same · Somewhat worse off · Much worse off · Not sure
Sample1,000 profiles drawn in a fixed representative order from the population; asking more extends the same sample rather than starting overMethodEach profile answers in character from its own attributes. Answers outside the format are discarded before counting.AccuracyThe interval reflects sampling variation in the simulated sample. On 46 multiple-choice questions checked against the 2024 General Social Survey, simulated answers from this population sat a median 24 points from real people's within demographic groups and 16 points nationally. Every checkAssumptions“Better off” is interpreted as overall personal circumstances rather than a specific financial measure.

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